Labour Market and Skills Demand Horizon Scanning and Qualitative Scenarios

Concepts

• sheffield
• research and development
• department for education
• labour market
• qualitative scenarios
• key trends of the labour market
• possible labour market scenarios
• skills demand horizon scanning
• horizon of the labour market
• broad implications of these scenarios

Location

Description

The aim of this research is to scan the horizon of the labour market over the next 15-20 years to identify the drivers and emerging trends, (including EU Exit, technological advances, globalisation, an ageing population, migration, environmental change, and Covid-19) to create several possible labour market scenarios and to assess the broad implications of these scenarios for the jobs, skills, and qualifications that will be needed in adult and technical education. In the short-term, the results of this research will help to shape the Department for Education's assessment of what mix of qualifications the Department should fund to meet the demands of the future labour market. In the longer-term it will help to inform what the Department's ambition for the future should look like. Research Questions: • What are the global drivers and key trends of the labour market? How might these evolve over the next 15-20 years? Which of these are likely to be most important in defining the future of UK jobs and skills? • How do global and local trends interact in the UK labour market? • Given the key global and local trends, what are the different possible scenarios about how the labour market might develop over the next 15-20 years? What would have happened anyway? What is the impact on different sectors likely to be? • What are the implications of these scenarios for jobs, skills, and qualifications? How might the jobs, skills, and qualifications needed now change over the short term (0-5 years) and long term (15-20 years)? To narrow the findings, it may be useful to focus on some specific sectors of high interest. We expect that the research will involve a review of existing evidence on the future of the labour market, interviews with key experts and qualitative scenario building, including a 'business as usual' scenario and several possible labour market scenarios that have broad implications for the jobs, skills, and qualifications. We anticipate that an experienced contractor will undertake this work who is familiar with scenario development and futures methods.

CPV Codes

• 73000000 - Research and development services and related consultancy services

Indicators

• Contract is suitable for SMEs.
• Contract is suitable for VCOs.

Other Information

Please note progression of this project is subject to Ministerial Approval Expression of Interest EOI advert - Labour market horizon scanning.docx Expression of Interest Form (EOI) EOI form 2020.doc